ATYRAU AND THE GLOBAL GREENHOUSE EFFECT: CLIMATE ANALYSIS AND PROSPECTS

Abstract

This study is devoted to a comprehensive analysis of the impact of the global greenhouse effect on the climate and socio-economic development of the Atyrau region, a strategically important region of Kazakhstan specializing in the extraction and processing of hydrocarbon raw materials. The aim of the study was to identify long-term climate trends, assess the extent of their impact on key sectors of the economy and the livelihoods of the population, and to identify priority areas for developing and implementing effective strategies for adapting to changing climate conditions and mitigating the negative consequences of global warming.

The study included a statistical analysis of long-term data series on temperature and precipitation collected by meteorological stations in the Atyrau region for the period from 2000 to 2022. The comes about of the examination uncovered a diligent drift towards an increment within the normal yearly temperature, as well as a common trend towards a diminish within the yearly sum of precipitation, which together leads to an increment in climate aridity. In expansion, an increment in extraordinary warm occasions, such as warm waves and periods with strangely tall temperatures, was recorded.

An evaluation of the affect of the distinguished climate changes on key divisions of the economy of the Atyrau locale, counting horticulture, water assets and vitality, appeared critical negative results, communicated in a diminish in trim yields, water shortage and an increment in power utilization for discuss conditioning.The study concludes with recommendations on developing and implementing a comprehensive strategy for climate change adaptation and mitigation, involving government agencies, business, scientific organizations, and the public to ensure sustainable development of the Atyrau region in the context of global climate change.